Major Update:  As the bellwether’s turn (against Clinton): Trump now leads in Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio and North Carolina – all states Barack Obama won his first term – according to Real Clear Politics averages. End Update This election year is proving to be very angst-driven for the denizens of the Political Industrial Complex (PIC). […]

A slew of polls are out from WSJ/NBC/Marist showing Obama leads in Ohio and elsewhere. Only problem is the turn out models appear to be devoid of all reality. First, you will want to read this: While Obama is ahead in early raw voting numbers in Florida and North Carolina, voting expert Michael McDonald, a […]

Update: Hmmm, This is interesting: The first post-presidential debate poll in critical Ohio shows that Mitt Romney blunted President Obama’s momentum with his winning performance and is now leading the president among Ohioans who say that they are “certain” to vote. Overall, the race is deadlocked with Obama over Romney 50 percent to 49 percent, […]

Reader ‘peakspike‘ pointed to a very interesting analysis on the current polls in the battleground states and what is required of the PUMAs to swing McCain-Palin over the top and on to victory. It is by Paul Marston (biography) and the analysis basically uses historic voting trends and current poll averages from RCP to determine […]

A lot of people claim there is no last minute surge for McCain – yet we see Obama slipping in PA, VA and now Ohio – with a poll showing McCain in the lead by 2%. Those who claim not to see a surge away from Obama in these final days must be looking the […]

McCain wants to change DC, Obama wants to change America! People have to understand how national campaigns will avoid the look of failure at all costs. In the case of novice Barack Obama this is all the more important since confidence in him is as fragile as a spun sugar figurine. So when Obama’s camp […]

Well, it seems the democrats are going to try to stop voters from voting, mainly Republican voters of course: Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner has a reputation as the most partisan state official in Ohio. And she works hard to earn it. The Democrat’s latest stunt rejected absentee ballots for thousands of Republicans. … Brunner […]

I was checking in to see what news was out today and glanced at the RCP state-by-state poll numbers as was absolutely stunned to see John McCain leading in OH. Last time I looked Obama was pretty far ahead (too early to focus on the states right now). So I went to the RCP Ohio […]

It’s still way too early to watch polls, so take this with a grain of salt. But two state polls recently out show movement away from Obama, and they may be signaling seriously bad news for the Waffler-in-Chief with his convention just around the corner. First some news out of the bell-weather state of OH: […]