It’s still way too early to watch polls, so take this with a grain of salt. But two state polls recently out show movement away from Obama, and they may be signaling seriously bad news for the Waffler-in-Chief with his convention just around the corner. First some news out of the bell-weather state of OH: […]

I meant to post this a few days ago, but a Rassmussen tracking poll question on who is winning in Iraq has seen huge reversals since last year, when the SurrderMedia and Surrendercrats in Congress were promising certain defeat: Nearly half of Americans (48%) now believe the United States and its allies are winning the […]

Newsweek as demonstrated why not all polls are created equal. After weeks of watching the Gallup and Rasmussen Daily tracking polls at RCP we discover that Obama has had a dead-cat bounce in the polls. His lead rose to 7-8 points for a few days, and then fell back down to 2-5 points. But Newsweek […]

Major Update:  In the Year of The Democrat, Obama is not doing as well with Democrats as McCain is among Republicans: There is a remarkable consistency across all these polls, one that helps us draw certain boundaries around the electorate. There will always be variation, either random or events-driven, but the rough plot lines of […]

The Honeymoon is over for Barack Obama, who is sliding badly in the Gallup daily tracking poll (click image to see original post): Maybe these sliding polls explain Obama’s lame effort at machismo and his desire to get a gun and start a fight with McCain. All the hallmarks of a desperate man on the […]

Many weeks ago I predicted Obama would not get much of a bump out of his nomination, and in fact would start to fade as sufficient numbers of Clinton supporters (mostly older woman) made good on their threats and bolted the Democrats after the beating Hillary took at the hands of male liberals.   The […]