Tag Archive 'Polls'

Oct 09 2013

GOP Response To Shutdown Bland, Whimpy, Defensive

Now I understand why the GOP continues to poll worse than the Dems in regard to the Shutdown Theater. They have no fire in their political efforts. A GOP ad has been released and it underscores this problem: The ad is boringly factual, focused on House GOP CYA (we passed bills to fund the government) […]

2 responses so far

Oct 04 2013

Cold Hearted Dems Relying On GOP Campassion For Americans To Win Shutdown

You have to wonder how cold the Democrats are when it comes to the “huddled masses”. Especially when you see crap like this: Senior admin official admits: We’re winning so it doesn’t matter to us when the shutdown ends The reality is clear to everyone, but no good can come from formal acknowledgment. Says Sam […]

One response so far

Nov 04 2012

Nevada Early Vote Indicates Possible Romney Win

Nevada has completed its early voting, and while Democrats have a slight lead in raw numbers, the GOP and Independents have also come out in force. Therefore, some reasonable turnout calculations show a possible Romney win. Here’s the math: Final vote tallies (ref here and here): Democrats: 307,877 (43.9%) Republicans: 259,913 (37%) Independents: 134,055 (19.1%) […]

9 responses so far

Nov 03 2012

Polling In An Alternate Universe

A slew of polls are out from WSJ/NBC/Marist showing Obama leads in Ohio and elsewhere. Only problem is the turn out models appear to be devoid of all reality. First, you will want to read this: While Obama is ahead in early raw voting numbers in Florida and North Carolina, voting expert Michael McDonald, a […]

3 responses so far

Nov 02 2012

Where Have All The Democrats Gone?

Updates Galore! – at the end of post A very interesting study is out from a left wing think tank that may have the explanation for why the polls are all skewed to Obama compared to what people see as a Romney surge on the ground and nationally. It has to do with a migration […]

2 responses so far

Oct 31 2012

State Polls Trending Towards National Polls & Romney Win

Update 3: The folks over at Powerline rip Quinnipiac and their mind boggling fictional turnout model: discount the Quinnipiac results, however, because its sample consists of 35 percent Democrats and 28 percent Republicans. That’s a better split for the Dems than they enjoyed in 2008. There is little reason to believe that the Democrats will […]

3 responses so far

Oct 30 2012

Obama’s Firewall A Sad PR Myth

The reality of the last 4 years of the Obama administration is starting to come crashing down on the left wing echo chambers in DC, NY and San Francisco. Obama’s firewall of swing states is folding like a domino set made of cheap lawn chairs. It is so bad warning signs are flaring up in […]

3 responses so far

Oct 16 2012

Obama Keeps Sliding Into “Lame Duckness”

Major Update 2: A 2nd body-blow poll out from Gallup: Romney 50%, Obama 46%, and that means certain defeat if it holds. Major Update 1: A body-blow poll out from KOS: The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for? Obama 46 […]

4 responses so far

Oct 13 2012

Obama Polling Shows Defeat

Sometimes people get too focused on the gap between two candidates and forget to pay attention to the actual levels. For example, an incumbent who is polling around 45-46% is more than likely to lose the election since undecided voters late in the race tend to go to the challenger. This is especially true for […]

4 responses so far

Oct 09 2012

Are 2010 Insurgent Voters Finally Engaging?

Update: Andrew Sullivan’s expression of shock tells me the current poll reversal has to be more than just a good/poor debate performance: Seriously: has that kind of swing ever happened this late in a campaign? Has any candidate lost 18 points among women voters in one night ever? And we are told that when Obama […]

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