I have to laugh at one of the liberal polling experts on the left, someone over at a blog called Fivethirtyeight. Today Nate Silver shows how statistics, when appropriately rigged, can even delude the statistician: Among the many difficulties that we face in this unique election cycle is figuring out exactly how long one should […]

At one point Obidenama had an 8 point lead over McCain in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll, but now that lead is all but gone (2 points) and there are indications from Gallup that McCain-Palin may come out of the back-to-back convention weeks with a significant lead on Obidenama:   The interviewing for today’s report […]

Rasmussen’s Daily Tracking Poll has also detected the loss of the Obidenama convention bounce I predicted yesterday was coming when I saw the CBS/NY Times poll.  From a 5 point lead Obidenama have fallen to a 2 point lead today (with more to come I am sure). What is interesting are some of the internals […]

Obama is getting a nice Labor Day bounce in the polls if you check out RCP. 6 points in Rasmussen, 8 in Gallup. Word of caution – Labor Day polls are notoriously skewed. I have no idea how this will all settle out, but I would not put a nickel on these results. Obama had […]

Gallup has detected a mini-bounce for Obama in their daily tracking poll (follow link for larger image): As Gallup notes the question is how long this will last, given the McCain news cycle begins tomorrow (and maybe even this evening with word leaking out on his VP selection). Obama got a 9 point bounce from […]

Obama’s Olympic Bounce in the polls is not good news. I had predicted Obama sinking a bit in the polls before the Democrat election, and so far the opposite has happened (check the RCP poll average and the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll). OK, normally I should be dishing up some crow to chow down on […]

Oh boy, Obama is in deep trouble with the electorate. The other day I predicted he would limp into the Democrat Convention behind McCain in the polls. I keep and eye on the Rassmussen and Gallup Daily Tracking Polls. And one poll I almost always ignore is the Zogby poll because it tilts so far […]

The independent (and not very ‘moderate’ by any measure) middle of the electorate is having second thought with Obama, The One. Obama has had a series of major stumbles even the fawning liberal SurrenderMedia could not cover (and most times just did not see happening).  The news media is so blindly in love with Obama […]

On Monday, when Obama was 9 points ahead of Obama in the Gallup Tracking Poll, I predicted that Obama’s world tour was such a disaster his lead would not survive the week. Here is what I said: So I am going to predict we see the same effect, delayed a bit in the Gallup Poll […]

Obama’s world tour debacle keeps hitting his campaign with more and more body blows as America decides victory in Iraq is more important than ending the war in Iraq. Gallup has some stunning numbers out which show 80% of Americans are not lined up behind Obama’s stubbornly pessimistic view that the Surge was the wrong […]