Tag Archive 'Polls'

Oct 08 2012

Poll Turnout Models Are Confused

Published by under All General Discussions

Update: Ed Morrissey has some similar observations over at Hot Air. Ed catches something important that I missed: That’s even more true when one takes into consideration the sample breakdown in this poll.  It has a D/R/I of 38/30/32, for a D+8.  That’s more Democratic than 2008?s D+7, which took place in a cycle with […]

6 responses so far

Jan 27 2012

Romney Really Pulling Ahead In Some Polls

Finally, we have real data showing a shift to Romney. Both Quinnipiac and Rasmussen show a clear trend in the data (comparing polls from the same pollsters over time – apples to apples). Prior claims of a shift, as I noted previously, were not correct – just lucky. So it looks like Newt is losing […]

42 responses so far

Sep 22 2010

The Voter-Outrage Wave Cometh

It is one thing to see the conditions for massive and historic election wave falling into place and showing up in the generic polls. It is another experience all together to see surprise races popping up like dandelions in the spring. The polling news from the last two days is just a wonder to see. […]

5 responses so far

Sep 07 2010

Numerous Polls Predict Huge GOP Gains This November

The first polls of the election season are coming in and the numbers are so bad it might be a good idea to put the left on suicide watch. No one living has ever seen the types of numbers we are seeing in the polls for the midterms (though no one should be surprised by […]

33 responses so far

Aug 08 2010

The Inflated Polls Of August

Update: It seems the Washington Post is seeing the same change in the public mood that I outlined below, and came to the same basic conclusion: But when the shouting dies down, it becomes possible to hear something else, something Democrats know is an even greater threat to them this fall. With polls consistently showing […]

13 responses so far

Jul 21 2010

The Anti-Liberal Tsunami Heading For The November Elections

Each district and state has a unique demographic makeup. That is why Massachusetts has been  one of the bluest (Dem) states in federal office elections, Texas has been one of the reddest (GOP) and Virginia (my home state) has been trending from red-purple to blue-purple. At least until 2009 when everything changed, and changed big. […]

9 responses so far

Apr 03 2010

Party Like Its 1994!

Thanks to Obama’s liberal tunnel vision, supported by the liberal madness of Congressional leaders in the House and Senate, it seems being a “D” in 2010 is going to be the mark of political Defeat in 2010. Polls are starting to come out showing just how big the backlash is brewing outside the beltway.  And […]

18 responses so far

Jan 18 2010

MA Bellweathers: Brown 55% – Coakley 40%

If the MA bell weather cities are any indication then Brown will win in a landslide (as I predicted): The bellwether polling, conducted Saturday, Jan. 16, and Sunday, Jan. 17, shows: • Brown (55 percent) leads Coakley (40 percent) by 15 points in Gardner. Independent candidate Joseph L. Kennedy polls 2 percent, while 3 percent […]

10 responses so far

Jan 17 2010

MA Special Election Poll Summary

Poll Updates Below! All you need to know about the Coakley-Brown race is in this graph from Pollster.com (takes time to load – be patient!). This composite of all the polls for the race show what happened. Right after the end of the year, when Democrats rammed through their Frankenstein Monster of a health care […]

18 responses so far

Jan 17 2010

Coakley’s Internals Show Her Behind, Campaign Shows Her Support Is Lackluster

Updates Below Late last night some more information trickled out regarding the state of the MA Special Election race between Martha Coakley (D) and Scott Brown (R). One of the more interesting articles was this one in the Boston Globe regarding polls, independents and turnout models: Independent voters in Massachusetts are an unpredictable breed and […]

4 responses so far

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