Jan 04 2007

Some Plame Predictions

Published by at 8:04 pm under All General Discussions,Plame Game

I am looking forward to the Scooter Libby Trial and interesting revelations. The one I think will be the most devastating to Fitzgerald’s case is the revelation Plame outed herself to the news Media in May 2003 – well before any administration people were talking to the press. I have written about this many times in my Plame Game category, but to save people the headaches let me just recreate the evidence here. In Nicholas Kristof’s lead off article on the then unknown Joe Wilson the entire thrust of the story was the administration knew the case for Iraq was phoney because they used forged documents to implicate Niger and Iraq in the State of The Union Speach (which actually referenced UK intelligence on Africa). The early brush fire was the forged Niger documents. That is important, because otherwise there was no story – none. The revelation was Bush-Cheney used known forgeries, debunked by Wilson on his 2002 trip to Niger, to lie to the American people.

Here is the now debunked Wilson claim from the Kristof piece which started the entire Plame Game:

But there are indications that the U.S. government souped up intelligence, leaned on spooks to change their conclusions and concealed contrary information to deceive people at home and around the world.

…I don’t want to believe that top administration officials tried to win support for the war with a campaign of wholesale deceit.

Consider the now-disproved claims by President Bush and Colin Powell that Iraq tried to buy uranium from Niger so it could build nuclear weapons. As Seymour Hersh noted in The New Yorker, the claims were based on documents that had been forged so amateurishly that they should never have been taken seriously. I’m told by a person involved in the Niger caper that more than a year ago the vice president’s office asked for an investigation of the uranium deal, so a former U.S. ambassador to Africa was dispatched to Niger. In February 2002, according to someone present at the meetings, that envoy reported to the C.I.A. and State Department that the information was unequivocally wrong and that the documents had been forged.

Bush used known forgeries and Kristof was talking to someone who knew all about it! Joe Wilson was the envoy – but to call the President a liar like this you need more than the word of one source. It is a well known fact that Kristof wrote this only two days after meeting Joe Wilson and Valerie Plame at a Democrat Party retreat. So the sourcing had to be solid to go to press with the NY Times Lawyers’ permission. I now direct everyone’s attention to the highlighted text in Kristof’s piece. He had eye witness information regarding the envoy’s (Joe Wilson’s) report on his Niger trip results. Now one would just logically assume the fact the ‘report’ was to the CIA and State Department the report was a physical thing and presented to a government agency. And I am sure that is what Kristof assumed, that a room full of people were in on this event as it was ‘witnessed’.

He was sadly mistaken and totally duped. Because it would come out years later in the Senate Report on Iraq that Wilson was actually debriefed at home with Valerie and two other people. From one of my many posts here is the snippet:

Later that day, two CIA DO officers debriefed the former ambassador who had returned from Niger the previous day. The debriefing took place in the former ambassador’s home and although his wife was there, according to the reports officer, she acted as a hostess and did not participate in the debrief.

Time explains a lot. Valerie, we learned only recently, headed the joint task force on Iraq and WMDs. Which means she headed a team of experts from all the Intelligence Community’s organizations charged with monitoring Iraq WMD efforts. So there was no need for her to participate in the debrief, she was going to get the report from the two DO officers. But what is key is the DO officers testified to the Senate, and it is in the same report, that there was never once a mention of the Niger forgeries which clearly Kristof had two sources claiming was discussed. Two sources who claimed to Kristof that Wilson debunked forgeries that would not surface inside the intelligence community until 8 months later. The DO officers never heard that story and never admitted to talking to Kristof.

So that leaves only one person left who (a) attended the debriefing at the Wilson home, (b) was with Wilson and Kristof the weekend they discussed the story and (c) would back up Joe’s totally bogus claim that Niger Forgeries were discussed. And that is Valerie Plame Wilson.

And Kristof is not the only reporter Valerie talked to. It seems Walter Pincus had two sources at the same meeting giving the same story for his article a few days later:

A key component of President Bush’s claim in his State of the Union address last January that Iraq had an active nuclear weapons program — its alleged attempt to buy uranium in Niger — was disputed by a CIA-directed mission to the central African nation in early 2002, according to senior administration officials and a former government official.

Armed with information purportedly showing that Iraqi officials had been seeking to buy uranium in Niger one or two years earlier, the CIA in early February 2002 dispatched a retired U.S. ambassador to the country to investigate the claims, according to the senior U.S. officials and the former government official, who is familiar with the event.

Note that the “former government official” source is Wilson himself. And he has at least two other “senior US officials” to back him up.

After returning to the United States, the envoy reported to the CIA that the uranium-purchase story was false, the sources said. Among the envoy’s conclusions was that the documents may have been forged because the “dates were wrong and the names were wrong,” the former U.S. government official said.

Here it is not so clear if the only person making the claim on the forgeries is Wilson (the former official) or him and another source. Again, to claim the President knowingly used faked information would require two sources. Only Valerie would have the position and be a witness to the claims of niger forgeries being reported at this time.

There are other indications as well, but Libby’s defense is going to rely on the fact reporters knew Plame was CIA already and were coming to him for confirmation. And of course they knew, if she was the source with Joe and she exposed her CIA employment. She would not have to disclose any secrets to let journalists know she was CIA and at the meetings.

Which is why Fitzegerald could never bring any charges specifically against outing Plame to the media – against Rove or Libby. There is no law against outing yourself. And it is pretty clear Plame outed herself to Kristof and Pincus and John Landay of Knight Ridder. The details in this last article are so accurate at such an early stage (before Wilson’s Op Ed) that it was clear early on it had to have come from sources inside the CIA. Again, the only CIA source who was willing to back Joe’s wild claims about forgeries was Valerie.

This will come out at the trial, and in fact must come out, because it is critical to Libby’s defense. It shows Plame and Wilson spoke freely about her role in this as a CIA employee, and therefore Libby was right in recollecting some reporters were asking him to confirm THEIR knowledge of Plame working at the CIA. It will also go to great lengths to destroy Plame’s and Wilson’s credibility, and it will throw a shadow on all testimony by reporters. If this is actually what happened, and I am nearly certain it is, I think this will be the big bombshell of the case.

42 responses so far

42 Responses to “Some Plame Predictions”

  1. conesplif says:

    Totally chilled. Way I understand it, people can comment on my ramblings – and vice versa – n’est ce pas?

    On point of fact, Sue commented that I had spouted credentials without being asked – in spite of the fact that you – a non-lawyer – had opined

    it is clear your grasp of the law is tentative at best

    so I considered my response setting the record straight.

    On the other hand, I don’t recall anyone rattling Sue’s cage. No problem – I understand the Strata-Sphere is a big free-for-all of people with opinions – some of whom MAY even have facts to back them up.

  2. erp says:

    AJ – fear in this new environment, the judge will do whatever he needs to do to tank Libby.

    This is o/t and I’m not sure what the rules are about that, but I had short conversation this afternoon with a neighbor who holds advanced degrees and has been around the world quite a few times. She was under the impression that it is Republicans who favor welfare and want to take away our civil rights and she can’t wait until the dems to start going back to the good old when everybody had to work and people weren’t collecting welfare, so taxes could go down and we wouldn’t spend so much on the military. PS she hates Bush.

    I was so startled, I couldn’t think of a courteous reply for a moment and just stated a few facts like FDR’s New Deal and LBJ’s War on Poverty, both of which made things immeasurably worse for downtrodden.

    She snorted as if I were nuts and not she.

  3. Sue says:

    On the other hand, I don’t recall anyone rattling Sue’s cage. No problem – I understand the Strata-Sphere is a big free-for-all of people with opinions – some of whom MAY even have facts to back them up.

    And you think providing a list of your credentials gives you credentials? I could provide that same list and you have no way of knowing whether or not they are indeed my credentials or if I just stole them from you. You would do better arguing your point of view instead of arguing your credentials.

  4. Sue says:

    At least, from my limited experience in courts of law, that is how it works. Someone fresh out of law school could whip a seasoned lawyer, if he presents his arguments to the judge and/or jury more persuasively than the seasoned lawyer who has filed numerous briefs, etc.

  5. ivehadit says:

    Excuse me, there would have been NO investigation into Scooter Libby once the fact was known that Armitage had been the leaker. This was known early on…

    The whole thing smells of a trap…and abuse of the powers of the prosecutor…as his scope was ENLARGED as I recall…because they found out Libby was not the leaker….early on….

    And btw, do you know much about the person in the DOJ that gave Fitz a larger mandate? Bet you don’t…but Clarice, macsmind and A.J. do. Where is Clarice when we need her?

  6. Barbara says:

    And btw, do you know much about the person in the DOJ that gave Fitz a larger mandate

    James B. Comey, Deputy Attorney General

  7. ivehadit says:

    Yes, Clarice can tell us about Mr. Comey….there is very interesting information about him…..

  8. conesplif says:

    From Whitehouse.gov – the official website of President George W. Bush:

    On October 3, 2003, President George W. Bush nominated Jim Comey to serve as Deputy Attorney General, he was unanimously confirmed by the Senate on December 9, 2003, and the President signed his commission on December 11, 2003. Prior to becoming Deputy Attorney General, Mr. Comey served as United States Attorney for the Southern District of New York from January 2002 to the time of his confirmation. From 1996 through 2001, Mr. Comey served as Managing Assistant U.S. Attorney in charge of the Richmond Division of the United States Attorney’s office for the Eastern District of Virginia.

    Mr. Comey was educated at the College of William & Mary (B.S. with Honors 1982, Chemistry and Religion majors) and the University of Chicago Law School (J.D. 1985). After law school, he served as a law clerk for then-United States District Judge John M. Walker, Jr. in Manhattan, and worked for Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher in their New York Office. He next joined the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York, where he worked from 1987 to 1993, eventually serving as Deputy Chief of the Criminal Division.

    As United States Attorney, Mr. Comey oversaw numerous terrorism cases and supervised prosecutions of executives of WorldCom, Adelphia, and Imclone on fraud and securities-related charges. Mr. Comey also created a specialized unit devoted to prosecuting international drug cartels.

    As an Assistant United States Attorney in the Eastern District of Virginia, he handled the Khobar Towers terrorist bombing case, arising out of the June 1996 attack on a U.S. military facility in Saudi Arabia in which 19 Airmen were killed. He has personally investigated and prosecuted a wide variety of cases, including firearms, narcotics, major frauds, violent crime, public corruption, terrorism, and organized crime. In the Southern District of New York, he served as lead prosecutor in United States v. John Gambino et al., a six-month mafia racketeering and murder trial in 1993.

    While in Richmond, Mr. Comey also served as an Adjunct Professor of law at the University of Richmond. Prior to joining the U.S. Attorney’s office in Richmond in 1996, he was a partner at McGuireWoods, LLP specializing in criminal defense and commercial litigation.

    So are nutcases Barbara, Sue and Ivehadit going to complain about this guys credentials?

  9. Sue says:

    Now post yours. Isn’t that what started the credential debate? Mr. Comey’s credentials are easily verified. Yours, not so much.

  10. conesplif says:

    Uh – Sue – I know your short-term memory’s going – but you didn’t want to hear about my credentials – ‘member? Just a little trip upthread.

  11. Sue says:

    Get a life, counselor. You have no credentials, unless you are willing to point me to the blue book you are listed in. (caveat…the color of the book may vary from state to state)

  12. conesplif says:

    Fiat justitia, ruat coelum.

  13. ivehadit says:

    Clarice has more on Comey. His credentials are *not* the issue….

  14. SizzleLean says:

    Prediction – Joe Wilson will be (and is currently being) investigated and eventually found guilty of espionage for France. The Libby trial draws on and, if its not over or Scooter is found (erroneously) guilty, Bush pardons the poor man. Too bad Scooter didn’t boink Plame earlier so this whole thing could just be about sex which is immune from perjury according to the dems.

  15. SizzleLean says:

    Prediction: Joe Wilson investigated and found guilty of espionage for France.

  16. Barbara says:

    Isn’t Comey behind the Martha Stewart debacle? Wasn’t he the power behind her being imprisoned for lying to the FBI? And didn’t that set a precedent? It seems like I read that somewhere.

  17. conesplif says:

    Clarice is a joke:

    Meanwhile Libby, who fully cooperated with the prosecution, told what he recalled as best he could recall

    She perhaps forgot to mention the 5 separate instances on which he lied – either under oath at the Grand Jury or to Federal Agents.

    As for Barbara:

    Isn’t Comey behind the Martha Stewart debacle?And didn’t that set a precedent?

    Sorry, Babs, Martha Stewart was neither the first – nor the last – person charged with a felony for lying to Federal Agents. Martha Stewart ignored the advice of her counsel when she talked to the FBI – and wound up serving 14 months as a result. Scooter will not be so lucky – he’s looking at hard time. Important rule of thumb: Innocent or guilty – do not talk to Federal Agents. No good can come of it.

  18. AJStrata says:

    Splif Brain,

    Final warning. Do not insult people here. Clarice has written and I have written on why the entire indictment is mixed recollections. Go educate yourself on the details before you insult others. I am not here to educate you are I would take the time to point out all the problems with the indictment.

    Actually I will, but do not respond with an insult or yo are out of here. The entire indictment relies on Judith Miller, Tim Russert and Mat Cooper in opposing recollections about separate incidents (in other words, they do not corraberate each other). Four of the indictments are for Libby saying the same things twice, once in an interview and once in the grand jury. In other words he did not change his story.

    Two of those four are regards Matt Cooper. Pre-trial transcripts show the judge has already determined Cooper gave conflicting statements, where HE changed his story over time and made it seem Libby said something he did not. It is in fact going to come out Libby was correct in his recollection.

    The next two of the four indictments are regarding Russert. Libby says he told Russert aboue Valerie Plame, Russert denies it. Now only a liberal idiot think Libby broke the law by lying to ADMIT he discussed Plame with Russert, when the prosecution witness says he did not (and therefore the prosecution witness provides an alibi for the entire underlying investigation).

    And then we come to the Judith Miller indictment. Where Libby was contacted by Miller and Miller clearly had been in contact with Joe Wilson prior to her meetings with Libby. And her notes indicate she knew the name Plame beforehand too. And Libby never named Wilson in the first meeting or named Plame – according to Miller. In the second meeting Miller has testifed (and written about it) that she cannot recall if Libby mentioned Plame or not. It is only in the 3rd meeting the Plame is known to have been discussed – and this is after the Armitage meeting.

    Also, if you have done any homework on this like Clarice and I have done, you can go to trancsripts and filings and find out that Fitzgerald has evidence (which the defense will get) the supports Libhy’s case. He has testimony and records from numerous other reporters where Plame and Wilson are never mentioned. He is trying to hide this by saying the discussions don’t involve Plpame (duh!), but the judge is not buying this of course.

    And we have Grossman, who submitted two copies of the same file to State Department records to provide an alibi for Armitage and seems to have helped his old buddy Joe Wilson with the media.

    Your ignorance is a joke Splif Head. You have no basis for your arrogance and you will not be given any leaway here to bloat your ego while tearing people down who actually have given serious thought and study to a subject.

    No more warnings. You screw up and act like a child again you will leave.

  19. conesplif says:

    AJ, both your and Clarice’s attacks on the Libby indictments are eminently predictable, but none of the allegations mean anything in the context of the prosecution. Do you see any Federal judges throwing the case out of court?

    Meanwhile – Clarice opines – repeat opines – that in her opinion – Libby

    Meanwhile Libby, who fully cooperated with the prosecution, told what he recalled as best he could recall

    but if that is the case – why would a Grand Jury indict the poor lad? Why? Because the grand jurors agreed with Fitzgerald that Libby was a liar and a perjurer. Soon, the jury will decide whether or not that is true beyond a reasonable doubt – but Clarice saying Libby told the truth is meaningless.

    What are you so afraid of – unfettered discourse – you are certainly insulting enough when it suits your whim?