The Washington Post/ABC News poll out showing Obama with a 9 point lead (52-43) illustrates my point about bad sampling techniques. There straight party sample breaks down 38% Dem, 28% Rep and 29% Ind. When Indies are asked which way they lean the sample goes 54% Dem, 38% Rep and 7% Ind. Is anyone surprised […]

Major Update: Here is the actual video evidence of the ‘speed dating’ sexist remark. And it is becoming the talking point I said it would be (here and here). – end update The Situation Room (the lair of “Wolf” Blitzer – how’s that for irony) has done it again. I am fairly certain it is simply […]

Which campaign has momentum? Well, we have some pictures from this week to answer the question. Here is an Obama event in deep blue Wisconsin where Obama attracted only 2/3rds the crowd McCain-Palin did a few days earlier. Estimates are 6,000 People.   And here is a McCain-Palin event in deep blue Pennsylvania: The evidence […]

Major Update: Reader SBD provides us a chilling look at one of the intel warnings that just went out a few days ago -  17 September 2008: A disturbing communication posted in a high level Arabic language forum suggests that some type of terrorist operation is currently underway, targeting sites within the United States and […]

OK, this would be a stretch and a shocker to the dems, but there seems to be some indications CA may fall into the battleground state category: But Republicans aren’t giving up on California. California Republican Party chief operating officer Bill Christiansen said some private polls put the two candidates within five points of each […]

Just to add fuel to the fire I wrote about this morning, there is a new poll out showing Obama is not gaining support among Clinton supporters – yet somehow he still leads in the national polls? Highly unlikely.

Been contemplating a post on polls and statistics for a few days now. The ebb and flow of the polls has me a bit perplexed. The national pattern is not synchronized with the state level polls.  Many key states are either in the “toss up” or very weak “lean” categories. normally blue states (e.g., PA, […]

It was the one of the most deplorable ads of the political season. It was the Obama campaign down in the sewer. Apparently the stench is so bad on this one Democrat VP candidate Joe Biden has chided the Obama Campaign (“I am Barack Obama, and I approved this ad”) and defended McCain on this […]

Wait just one second. As I have noted many times the Troopergate saga is a political hit job, and recently one of our readers connected the dots to show it is probably a coordinated smear between Palin’s political enemies (which she has earned many in her efforts to clean up corruption). The media is relying […]

  Major Update – I was wrong, Obama holding at +4.  My timing could be off, but I doubt it.  Cheers, AJStrata Gallup showed a resurgent Obama over the past few days shooting out to a 6 point lead on Saturday, 50-44%. Yesterday, though, that lead dropped two points (or 30%). All during this period […]