Jul 21 2008
Scientists: Prepare For Three Decades Of Global Cooling
One of my favorite new sites is Ice Cap, which publishes scientific reports and data that challenge the theories from the Church of Al Gore/IPCC – and in many cases destroy those theories. I noted a while ago some global warming proponents had come out and forecasted at least another decade of global cooling (after the last decade of global cooling we just went through since the peak warm year of 1998).
Today, Ice Cap featured a report that is predicting 3 decades of global cooling, driven by the well established and documented Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO):
Addressing the Washington Policymakers in Seattle, WA, Dr. Don Easterbrook said that shifting of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) from its warm mode to its cool mode virtually assures global cooling for the next 25-30 years and means that the global warming of the past 30 years is over. The announcement by NASA that the (PDO) had shifted from its warm mode to its cool mode (Fig. 1) is right on schedule as predicted by past climate and PDO changes (Easterbrook, 2001, 2006, 2007) and is not an oddity superimposed upon and masking the predicted severe warming by the IPCC. This has significant implications for the future and indicates that the IPCC climate models were wrong in their prediction of global temperatures soaring 1°F per decade for the rest of the century.
Unlike the failed predictions from the IPCC, this scientific model is correct because it’s predictions work like clockwork. And its record goes back for some time:
You can see a larger image here. So now we have two opposing views with two opposite predictions (one of which is failing and one of which is coming true already). We will soon learn which was science and which was a cult of fanatics. Folks can read more on the PDO here and here.
Hey, hey, its not ‘global warming’ or ‘global cooling’ anymore, its ‘climate change’ per Algore et al. Let’s be PC around here. I pledge to take a bicycle to work tomorrow. Now…mmm how am I going to get to the store to buy one?
To bad algore! Oh would I love it.
The global temperature drop over the past 18 months has been dramatic … the greatest temperature drop in so short of time ever recorded since temperature records have been reliably kept. If you have any friends in the UK, call and ask them what kind of summer they are having there.
The North Atlantic Oscillation has also gone cold, too, as seen here from NOAA.
We are in a period of cold Northern Pacific and cold Northern Atlantic at the same time along with a period of declining Total Solar Irradiation (TSI) as well.
This is a great observation, and should be one of the final nails in the AGW coffin.
There’s one problem with his graph that has already been pointed out elsewhere, so I might as well be the first to point it out here. One of the most ridiculous tricks of the AGW crowd is to show future temperatures and trends as though they had already been measured. Why oh why did he have to copy that trick in this graph? Just end the thing at the last actual reading, don’t try to project the future with some kind of ridiculous accuracy no prediction could ever have.
the correct, scientific way to to his graph – STOP the detailed readings at June of 2008, then if you must add on a simple, smoothed curve clearly labeled “PROJECTED”. Anything other than that is not only misleading but tends to undermine the entire case being made.
I know that he simply copied the 1946 – 1979 cool phase PDO and spliced it on the end of the real data to show what a cooling phase repeat could look like, but that was a mistake.
oops, that graph I posted stops in 05, I will find the one that goes until 08.
Here it is.
[…] I posted on some of these effects yesterday. What this means is no matter how much you change your CO2 footprint, how much you try to be CO2 green, no matter how much liberal governments tax you – you cannot save the planet from its natural cycles. Remember, the draconian actions being proposed by the Church of Al Gore/IPCC, which will run into the tens of trillions of dollars and cripple the world economies, is only meant to reduce today’s CO2 levels by a fraction. […]
Important information from the source article (NASA):
The image also shows that this La Niña is occurring within the context of a larger climate event, the early stages of a cool phase of the basin-wide Pacific Decadal Oscillation. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is a long-term fluctuation of the Pacific Ocean that waxes and wanes between cool and warm phases approximately every five to 20 years. In the cool phase, higher than normal sea-surface heights caused by warm water form a horseshoe pattern that connects the north, west and southern Pacific, with cool water in the middle. During most of the 1980s and 1990s, the Pacific was locked in the oscillation’s warm phase, during which these warm and cool regions are reversed. For an explanation of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and its present state, see: (jisao.washington.edu/pdo/)Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and (esr.org/pdo_index.html) Earth and Space Resarch: Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index.
“This multi-year Pacific Decadal Oscillation ‘cool’ trend can intensify La Niña or diminish El Niño impacts around the Pacific basin,” said Bill Patzert, an oceanographer and climatologist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. “The persistence of this large-scale pattern tells us there is much more than an isolated La Niña occurring in the Pacific Ocean.”
Sea surface temperature satellite data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration also clearly show a cool Pacific Decadal Oscillation pattern, as seen at: (cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/sst/sst.anom.gif)The shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, with its widespread Pacific Ocean temperature changes, will have significant implications for global climate. It can affect Pacific and Atlantic hurricane activity, droughts and flooding around the Pacific basin, marine ecosystems and global land temperature patterns.
“The comings and goings of El Niño, La Niña and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation are part of a longer, ongoing change in global climate,†said Josh Willis, a JPL oceanographer and climate scientist. Sea level rise and global warming due to increases in greenhouse gases can be strongly affected by large natural climate phenomenon such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. “In fact,†said Willis, “these natural climate phenomena can sometimes hide global warming caused by human activities. Or they can have the opposite effect of accentuating it.â€
(jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2008)
(The scientists behind the research come to quite a different conclusion than Easterbrook, it’s important to look beyond the headlines.)
[…] I posted on some of these effects yesterday. What this means is no matter how much you change your CO2 footprint, how much you try to be CO2 green, no matter how much liberal governments tax you – you cannot save the planet from its natural cycles. Remember, the draconian actions being proposed by the Church of Al Gore/IPCC, which will run into the tens of trillions of dollars and cripple the world economies, is only meant to reduce today’s CO2 levels by a fraction. […]
[…] with a recurring and cyclic shift in ocean currents in the Pacific – we are actually facing decades of Global Cooling: Addressing the Washington Policymakers in Seattle, WA, Dr. Don Easterbrook said that shifting of […]
[…] example, it was scientists associated with the UN IPCC that determined the Earth will be cooling for the next three decades: Addressing the Washington Policymakers in Seattle, WA, Dr. Don Easterbrook said that shifting of […]