Nov 29 2008
It seems the world is not ready to destroy the world-wide economy on a fancy of error ridden ‘science’. As more and more evidence comes in refuting the Chicken Little calls from the pews of the Church of Al Gore/IPCC, it seems the idea of blowing trillions of dollars and destroying the minimal, quality of life for those on the lowest rungs of humanity is not as ‘hot’ as it once was. Reality has a way of destroying fads and flimflam schemes, and the man-made global warming hoax is no exception.
The world is cooling to the unsubstantiated and unproven claim that man-made CO2 is causing global warming, at leastÂ according to a new world-wide poll:
There is both growing public reluctance to make personal sacrifices and a distinct lack of enthusiasm for the major international efforts now underway to battle climate change, according to findings of a poll of 12,000 citizens in 11 countries, including Canada.
Less than half of those surveyed, or 47 per cent, said they were prepared to make personal lifestyle changes to reduce carbon emissions, down from 58 per cent last year.
Only 37 per cent said they were willing to spend “extra time” on the effort, an eight-point drop.
And only one in five respondents – or 20 per cent – said they’d spend extra money to reduce climate change. That’s down from 28 per cent a year ago.
Emphasis mine. The dirty little secret within the Church of Al Gore/IPCC is that the masses will pay a very heavy price to battle the mythical man-mad global warming, and the rich have sufficient money to insulate themselves with minimal effort. The whole cap-and-trade scheme is a way to make the masses pay for the excess of the ridiculously wealthy.
And why shouldn’t the world be turning their backs on these charlatans? Look at their record – none of the dire predictions have come true. Â None! Let’s begin with the first round of ‘scientific’ claims made by the Church of Al Gore/IPCC in 1990 – now that we have nearly 2 decades of actual data to compare against these so called expert models.
Back in 1990 the Church of Al Gore/IPCC claimed the global climate would increase +0.3Â° C per decade (with a margin of error range of +0.2 to +0.5Â° C per decade). As I noted just recently, if the Church of Al Gore/IPCC was using solid scientific methods and theories that translates into what should be 0.6Â° C increase today over the 1988 temperatures – or +0.4 to +1.0Â° Â C given the margin of error.
The reality? An ACTUAL increase of less than 0.2Â° C inÂ Â in two decades – basically no change. If these calculations where being used to fly astronauts to the space station and return them safely we would have corpses of astronauts orbiting the earth in droves. Here is an important graph of the reality verses the predictions:
Note the IPCC line heading off into Global Warming Hell, and the reality of no appreciable change in the measurements. Â The IPCC claims and predictions have been no less inaccurate since 1990. They keep adjusting their predictions, moving the time ofÂ ArmageddonÂ farther and farther out as none of their claims pan out. All they do in each report is move the goal posts. While in the interim more and more real science has come out proving how pathetically wrong the followers of the Church of Al Gore/IPCC really are.Â
Somehow all the man-made CO2 here on Earth started causing ‘global warming’ on Mars and Jupiter. No one has an explanation on how all our hot air travelled through space and infected planets millions of miles away and (in the case of Jupiter) many, many times the size of the Earth.
And this summer that part of NASA not attached to the Church of Al Gore/IPCC – which still does real science – noted that 70% of the Global Climate is independent of Green House Gases, out of which CO2 is only a small fraction of Green House Gas mix (water vapor is by far the dominate driver).
The problem with all the measured data is that, as CO2 levels continue to rise, the global temperature is not. Therefore there is no correlation between CO2 and global temps. Check out this graph which lays the CO2 level (green line) right on top of the Global Temperature measurements:
Anybody can see CO2 is climbing and the global temperature is flat (or dropping). In fact, this year marks an interesting year for the Church of Al Gore/IPCC – it is the year all their models are declared complete garbage, because 20 years after the IPCC declared a pending environmental disaster due to a warming globe, all the warming has suddenly disappeared:
Why? Because the real force behind our climate (the Sun) has shifted into a new phase – and when combined with a recurring and cyclic shift in ocean currents in the Pacific – we are actually facing decades of Global Cooling:
Addressing the Washington Policymakers in Seattle, WA, Dr. Don Easterbrook said that shifting of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) from its warm mode to its cool mode virtually assures global cooling for the next 25-30 years and means that the global warming of the past 30 years is over. The announcement by NASA that the (PDO) had shifted from its warm mode to its cool mode (Fig. 1) is right on schedule as predicted by past climate and PDO changes (Easterbrook, 2001, 2006, 2007) and is not an oddity superimposed upon and masking the predicted severe warming by the IPCC. This has significant implications for the future and indicates that the IPCC climate models were wrong in their prediction of global temperatures soaring 1Â°F per decade for the rest of the century.
What makes these truly scientific models believable is the fact the shift occurred when predicted and with the predicted indicators (low sun spot activity, PDO shifts, etc). The physical indicators showed up and the temperature has been dropping since. Unlike the IPCC models which still spew forth garbage.Â
So is it really surprising that the world has turned a cold shoulder to the Church of Al Gore/IPCC and their cries of man-made, CO2 induced global warming? After all, they are proven failures. Who wants to throw hard earned money at proven failures? And I mean ‘proven’ in more than the fact the reality did not validate their models for 20 years. I mean in the discoveries of faulty data either from selecting the data they liked or by introducing biases into the data.
A well respected scientist has been doing some forensic investigations into where the Church of Al Gore/IPCC went astray. And it is pretty stunning stuff. For example, does anyone realize that much of the increase in global temperature was not a change in the temperature but a came as a result of a 30% reduction in the number of stations used to measure global temperatures?
There is a substantial body of peer-reviewed evidence that the surface temperature records areÂ deficient for the purpose of measuring long-term climate change. Global surface temperatureÂ averages are produced from subsamples of the archive of the Global Historical Climatology NetworkÂ maintained by the National Climatic Data Center at NOAA. Yet the GHCN stopped updating recordsÂ from thousands of locations around the world in the early 1990s, either because the weather recordsÂ in the host country ceased or GHCN simply dropped the record. The number of available temperatureÂ samples fell from about 12,000 per year to about 8,000 per year between 1990 and 1992, coincidingÂ with the jump in the raw temperature average from about 10 oC to about 11 oC.
If you look at the accompanying graph (hopefully I can get it loaded later today) the jump is from 10Â°C to 11.5Â°C. Sort of odd how the global spike in temperature happens around the same time period as this change in the sample, helping the hyperventilating IPCC 1990 predictions look plausible. Reality has told a very different story since.
Also, when the Church of Al Gore/IPCC was forced to face the reality there was no Global Warming, they blamed the data (reality), instead of seeing this as a fault with their models (theory).
Early drafts of the IPCC Report ignored the peer-reviewed literature showing that the spatial patternÂ of surface temperature trends over land after 1980 is highly correlated with the spatial pattern ofÂ socioeconomic activity and industrialization, and that these non-climatic influences add a largeÂ upward bias to the post-1980 surface temperature data.
The IPCC asserts that the significant correlation between temperature change and industrialization isÂ an artifact of natural atmospheric oscillations. However, the cited sections of the report (188.8.131.52 andÂ 3.6.4) provide no evidence for such a claim. Moreover, the highlighted phrase claims that once thisÂ effect is accounted for, the correlations become statistically insignificant. â€œStatistical insignificanceâ€Â is a specific scientific assertion, yet no empirical evidence for this statement is provided anywhere inÂ the IPCC Report, nor do they cite any peer reviewed publication to support it. It is a fabrication.
We in the normal world call this denial. What they are saying is industrialization and development of the land has no effect on local temperature readings. And they call that ‘science’? How is it CO2 can have an effect but not asphalt, buildings, concrete jungles, etc? Â
The fact is real-world measurements have been destroying the case for CO2 driven, man-made global warming for years and decades. Check out the history being made in Alaska:
Alaskan Glaciers Grow for First Time in 250 years
A bitterly cold Alaskan summer has had surprising results. For the first time in the area’s recorded history, area glaciers haveÂ begun to expand,Â rather than shrink. Summer temperatures, which were some 3 degreesÂ below average, allowed record levels of winter snow to remain much longer, leading to the increase in glacial mass.
“In mid-June, I was surprised to see snow still at sea level in Prince William Sound”, said glaciologist Bruce Molnia. “In general, the weather this summer was the worst I have seen in at least 20 years”.
Accordingly to Molnia, a difference of just 3 or 4 degrees is enough to shift the mass balance of glaciers from rapid shrinkage to rapid growth. From the 1600s to the 1900s, thatâ€™s just the amount of warming that was seen, as the planet exited the Little Ice Age.
Molnia says one cold summer doesn’t mean the start of a new climatic trend. At least years like this, however, might mark the beginning of another Little Ice Age.
The evidence of how the Church of Al Gore/IPCC got it wrong is undeniable. What isÂ hilariousÂ is that these people want the world to tank their economies on this garbage science. Not likely. This is more likely the picture of the future: