Jan 18 2010
In what has to be the equivalent of calling the MA Special Election for Brown, Stuart Rothenberg has move the race from ‘toss up’ to ‘takeover’. Rothenberg has nothing to gain by jumping the gun like this and a lot of credibility to lose if he is wrong. The only thing I can think of to push this kind of action are the internal polls are so bad and the margin so large there is not risk in coming out now.
UPDATE: WH is admitting a lot today:
He adds that â€œthey are saying their numbers have them up â€” but that is W. modelingÂ that does not reflect this election and they know it. They are afraidÂ a big loss would produce a diaspora inÂ Congress.Â That’s why presidentÂ had no choice but to go.â€
As I said, it is so bad Obama has no choice but to throw everything at this race, since he is going to be the lamest of lame ducks come Wednesday. BTW, word on the ground is a Brown wipe out with Independents.