Jan 18 2010
If the MA bell weather cities are any indication then Brown will win in a landslide (as I predicted):
The bellwether polling, conducted Saturday, Jan. 16, and Sunday, Jan. 17, shows:
â€¢ Brown (55 percent) leads Coakley (40 percent) by 15 points in Gardner. Independent candidate Joseph L. Kennedy polls 2 percent, while 3 percent are undecided.
â€¢ In Fitchburg, Brown (55 percent) has a 14-point lead over Coakley (41 percent), with 2 percent for Kennedy and 2 percent undecided.
â€¢ Peabody voters give Brown (57 percent), a 17-point lead over Coakley (40 percent), with Kennedy polling 1 percent and 3 percent undecided.
Just eyeballing the averages here it looks like 55-40 Brown – a wipe out. No wonder Mr. “Tingly Leg” Mathews threw in the towel this morning on Morning Joe. No wonder Stu Rothenburg basically called this for Brown. No wonder Obama was desperate to try and stem the damage in MA.
This kind of blow out will cement the reality that the liberal democrat moves in DC are creating a public backlash of epic proportions. NJ, VA and MA are not isolated incidents.
Gardner, Fitchburg and Peabody all show solid margins for Brown, the state senator running against Coakley. The cities were identified as bellwether communities because in the most recent “like election” – the November 2006 Senate race between the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy and Republican challenger Kenneth Chase – the results in all three communities were within 1 percentage point of the actual statewide results for each candidate. Additionally, party registration in those cities is similar to the statewide voter makeup.
True bell weathers.