Jul 23 2010
(Select the image to review some of Baghdad Bob’s classic claims)
Despite all the delusional and misleading denials by DC Democrats regarding their chances this coming election (especially that schtick by “Beltway Biden” this last week on ABC News), the reality of the Democrats’ situations is clear when you focus on where they are spending their money. The Politico reports on ad buys in 40 house seats the Democrats need to defend to keep control of the House, basically identifying those races the Dems know are in trouble:
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has invested approximately $28 million worth of television air time to defend vulnerable incumbents running for reelection this fall, a senior Democratic official confirmed to POLITICO.
The scale of the DCCCâ€™s ad reservations showcases the committeeâ€™s massive financial strength: just two days ago, the DCCC announced it had $34 million in the bank, doubling the National Republican Congressional Committeeâ€™s $17 million war chest.
The fact is the Democrats are spending 82% of their war chest on defending these seats. Now Dems are down to $6 million in the bank. An let’s also be clear here, that buy is roughly $700k per districts – which is good in rural distracts but a pittance in urban/suburban districts.
The Politico can try and spin this as ‘massive financial strength’, but it is actually a blatant Hail Mary move – way early in the game. If this fails, there will be little chance in the fall to add more financial stimulus to their caucus, at least on this scale. Donors could be (and probably already are) backing away from the Democrats. I mean, who haven’t the Dems blamed for all their mistakes and horrible policies? Is Big Business going to rescue the Dems? Small Business? Doctors? Seniors? Energy companies? Wall Street? Main Street? The Dems have turned off most of the country. Who wants to spend money on a losing bet?
Also what is fascinating is how far up the seniority chain the alarm bells are ringing inside the DCCC:
The DCCC reserved air time in 40 districts, according to a document provided to POLITICO. Most of the buys are designed to shore up vulnerable first-term Democrats, including Alabama Rep. Bobby Bright, Colorado Rep. Betsy Markey, Florida Rep. Suzanne Kosmas, New Mexico Rep. Harry Teague, Pennsylvania Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper, Michigan Rep. Mark Schauer, Nevada Rep. Dina Titus; Ohio Reps. John Boccieri, Steve Driehaus and Mary Jo Kilroy; and Virginia Reps. Tom Perriello and Glenn Nye and Gerry Connolly.
The committee is also devoting resourcing to helping a small group of veteran lawmakers facing unusually stiff challenges, including South Carolina Rep. John Spratt, who chairs the House Budget Committee; Missouri Rep. Ike Skelton, who chairs the House Armed Services Committee; North Dakota Rep. Earl Pomeroy, Pennsylvania Rep. Paul Kanjorski, Texas Rep. Chet Edwards and Iowa Rep. Leonard Boswell.
In a sign that Republicans have succeeded in broadening the playing field for the midterm campaign, the DCCC bought time in several districts represented by members previously viewed as safe, including Ohio Rep. Betty Sutton, Texas Rep. Ciro Rodriguez and Florida Rep. Allen Boyd.
Emphasis mine. The warning flags are out and danger is ahead an all fronts (especially in VA where there is a chance the Dems lose 3 seats just there). Biden can lay on the fiction all day long, but it only adds to the image of a party spiraling down the drain – and painfully unaware why they are being flushed.
Update: More here:
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee reserved television time in 40 districts across the country, including those of Representatives John M. Spratt Jr. of South Carolina, chairman of the Budget Committee, and Ike Skelton of Missouri, chairman of the Armed Services Committee. The committee also reserved time to help Representative Chet Edwards of Texas, who is seeking his 11th term in November and is among the partyâ€™s most vulnerable members.
The 40 districts that Democrats selected, based on polling, candidate fund-raising and the strength of Republican opposition, include five seats in Ohio, four in Pennsylvania, three in Arizona and in Virginia, and two each in Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New York and Texas.
So, the Dems are on track to lose 11 governor seats and drop down to only 14 states (28%), the Democrat Senate Majority leader is in serious trouble and 2 Dem chairman are on the endangered Democrat list. But according to Beltway Biden we are going to be surprised?!?!?