Aug 10 2010
I was reading this article today, and was reminded of a prediction I made nearly a year ago.
The article today is titled “The increasingly Self-Pitying Obama White House” by Peter Wehner.
…based on these excerpts â€” which presumably reflect the thrust of the 10,000-word article â€” what is striking is the degree of self-pity we find in Obamaâ€™s advisers, which is reflected in the presidentâ€™s words and attitude as well. Team Obama sounds nothing so much as overmatched and overwhelmed, unable to understand what has gone wrong, and increasingly bitter toward the nationâ€™s capital and the pace and nature of politics.
What we are seeing, I think, is a group of supremely arrogant people humbled by events. They are turning out to be a good deal more incompetent than they (and many Americans) ever imagined. They see impending political doom in the form of the midterm elections. Yet this is not leading them toward any apparent serious self-reflection; rather, they are engaging in an extraordinary degree of whining, finger-pointing, and self-indulgence.
A team takes on the view of it’s leader – if they are whining and telling themselves that all of this criticism is just so unfair, it’s a safe bet that’s exactly what Obama is doing.Â Of course, this kind of attitude does NOT lead to any change, becauseÂ they believe that the problems are everyone ELSE’S fault, not theirs!
In 18 months they appear to have developed deep grievances and an increasing unhappiness and frustration with the duties of governing.
And just wait until after this fall’s election.Â So far, they’re still listening to Pelosi and telling themselves it won’t be so bad.Â Â That won’t be an option after November 2nd.
Which is what reminded me of what I wrote nearly a year ago to a few friends.Â Â I made a prediction, based on what I saw in Obama – you tell me if it’s held up over time.
On Oct. 6, 2009, I wrote:Â Â “here is my prediction of what he will do, based on my own analysis of his character in previous situations. In a way itâ€™s better than the plan to destroy America that some have envisioned; but it may also be worse.
I strongly suspect that Obama has led a life in which he has *always* been able to find the easy way out, and up till now this has always worked for him.Â Look at his biography â€“ sure, his motherâ€™s troubles are well documented, but at an early age he went to live with his wealthy hawaiian grandparents, one of whom was a bank vice president. Come on â€“ even as a kid, he lived the dream that the rest of us could only fantasize about. He went to one of the best prep schools in the state. Then he partied his way through his undergrad degree at Occiental â€“ notice how the records have never been released? (well, thereâ€™s that possible Indonesian Exchange Student thing) But he presented well, and he got someone big to clear his way to Harvard (he didnâ€™t do it on his own, no way)
Now I want to make a point about his Harvard career that I havenâ€™t seen made before, because I think it is a very close parrallel to what is happening with Obamaâ€™s Presidency:Â At Harvard, he became editor of the Law Review through a combination of grades and a popularity contest â€“ but although you know he didnâ€™t produce any articles, most donâ€™t quite realize the significance of this. The reason that Editor of the Law Review at any law school is so prestigious is that it gives that person the right to pick and author the most prestigious and significant research that may be open at the time. This in turn is used as a hiring marker for the various judicial clerkships and big Wall Street firms â€“ the successful author of a lead article will literally have his choice of positions.
It is Unheard of for someone to rise to this position and then to just kick back and do nothing at all but coast through a years worth of meetings with his feet on the table â€“ but that is exactly what Obama did. He never wrote anything, and although I havenâ€™t verified this, I suspect he is the only Harvard Law Review editor who has never written any actual research. It was an astounding failure, but not just a failure â€“ it was a total lack of effort.
This is why he never went on to any senior judicial clerkship, which he should have done, and why he never went to any big law firm but instead ended up with some community activist group in Chicago. Potential employers looked at his record and saw a very glib and well spoken screw-off. Well, guys like that are a dime a dozen in this world. Thatâ€™s why his legal career failed.
He still had his gift of gab and good looks, which is always useful in machine politics. Since then, heâ€™s had a helping hand pushing him from one legislative office to another â€“ heâ€™s never actually had to do any work. He didnâ€™t have to raise the money, other people did that, he didnâ€™t come up with the strategy, Axelrod did that, he didnâ€™t have to build the organization, other people did that for him. He has *never* had to do anything in his life besides show up and take the easy way out. Somehow he managed to ride this incredible run of good luck all the way up to the Presidency, and he has never in his life had to do anything but show up, smile, and say some vaguely reassuring words to his fans.
And now, for the very first time in his life, he has to face the reality that there is no easy way out. He has literally never been truly responsible for *anything* in his life up to this point â€“ Heck of a time to think about growing up!!! I suspect heâ€™s going to do the same thing as he did at the Harvard law Review â€“ now that something is being required of him, I think heâ€™s going to put his feet up on the desk and just pretend that everything is going to work out. And when it doesnâ€™t heâ€™ll search for someone to blame rather than fixing anything, which is always the other easy way out. And when that doesnâ€™t work, heâ€™ll find a way to quit, if not literally, then at least in real terms. Just as he did at Harvard.
Thatâ€™s my prediction. What is Obama going to do when things get really bad? Heâ€™s going to make Herbert Hoover look like an activist, thatâ€™s what heâ€™s going to do. Because he doesnâ€™t have it in him to do anything else, and he never did. Oh, heâ€™ll have plenty of underlings that will try stuff â€“ Emmanual and Pelosi and Reid, oh my. But theyâ€™ll all be at cross purposes and will all be at each others throats while Obama is smiling and waving and pretending that Prosperity is Just Around the Corner. It wouldnâ€™t surprise me at all if, by 2011, he doesnâ€™t start finding ways to spend most of his time outside of the country.
Now how we deals with his own supporters once this administration collapses into incoherent incompetence is going to be the most interesting game to watch. Theyâ€™re already starting to figure out that things arenâ€™t going well â€“ when they finally realize theyâ€™ve been snookered by a false messiah things could get very ugly indeed.”