Oct 19 2010
Lot’s of head shaking going on with PPP’s ‘unique’ senate poll in PA. PPP has Sestak jumping to a one point lead over Toomey, after months of trailing. However, Jim Geraghty noted a very strange turnout model in the late PPP poll, with Dems out performing their 2008 turnout by a whopping 4%! In 2008 the exit polls showed D-44, R-37 and I-18. PPP thinks it sees 2010 being D-48, R-41 and I-11
In this year’s PA absentee ballot requests, however, the ACTUAL numbers are D-41, R-49 and I-10. It would seem the absentee ballot request numbers tell a different potential outcome. Very different.